This past Sunday, Heather Cox Richardson wrote a piece
for Salon.com titled:
“It is time to get very afraid: Extremists,
authoritarians now run the GOP—and no one can stop them.” Her piece, well worth
reading, runs through some of the history of the rise of conservatives in the
United States, beginning with William F. Buckley and continuing through the
Goldwater run for the presidency in 1964, the Nixon ‘southern strategy’ to take
advantage of white outrage over the Johnson-era civil rights bills, and into
Ronald Reagan and the consolidation of radical-conservative thinking into what
almost seems a majoritarian hold on American life. She also takes us through
the Bush W. years and today’s rise of the clown car of Republican presidential hopefuls,
all of whom would have been considered absolutely beyond the pale in Republican
primaries of the Eisenhower era and before. Not any more. Republican
presidential aspirants now try to outdo each other in the rabid radicalism of
their utterings. They deny climate change, they deny that taxes are necessary,
they deny that Obamacare is legal, they insist that Obama is a Muslim and a
foreigner, they indulge in outright lies—Carly Fiorina insisted that she ‘saw’
a video of Planned Parenthood people dealing
in foetal body parts, and when confronted with the truth, tried to produce a
fake video to compound the lie—and never even blanche when caught. They “double
down” as the media loves to call it, rather than, the media I mean, holding
aspirants for the highest and most powerful office in the world to account, to
even a bare minimum of truth-telling. And above all, Republicans have, since
the aforementioned Buckley, maintained that government is the enemy, government
is unnecessary, government is what deprives red-blooded Americans of their
freedom and must be “drowned in the bathtub.” This leads to idiocies such as
Tea Party activists chanting “get your hands off my Medicare,” all the while directing
their wrath at the very government that in fact gives them Medicare.
Isaac
Asimov is reported to have once written:
“There is a cult of ignorance in the
United States, and there has always been. The strain of anti-intellectualism
has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural
life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that ‘my ignorance is
just as good as your knowledge.’”
In the situation that now faces us, it would be
tempting to join Asimov in attributing the ravings now convulsing the
Republican Party to sheer stupidity. Americans are stupid, they are proud of knowing
nothing about politics or science or world affairs, and this is why the
Republicans can make a virtual cult of ignorance, spouting the most outrageous
and dangerous falsehoods, stupidities, and pretend-cures like no taxes, and get
away with it.
But
that would be too easy. Americans in general are ignorant and poorly educated,
yes. But even a stupid population would see through the flim-flams of someone
like Donald Trump. They seem not to. Ever since he entered the Republican
primary race, with his nasty, narcissistic, authoritarian insults of his rivals
and everyone else, Trump has not only led the field, he has overwhelmed it. He
seems to appeal to some atavistic impulse of Tea Party arch-conservatives to
bring on the most hateful, boorish leader available and have him “clean house.”
Get rid of government ‘insiders’ and intellectuals. Trump’s recent “tax plan,”
announced this weekend, will have delighted them: it promises reduced or much-lowered
tax rates for poor and lower-middle classes as a cover to disguise the fact
that the upper echelons (the real ‘insiders’) are actually the ones who will
make out like bandits, including massive corporations and those richest of the
rich who have big estates that benefit from reduced estate taxes. Not to
mention the fact that the vastly reduced revenues that will result will be
taken out of critical social programs like Medicare, Social Security, Medicaid,
and every other public program that will be starved in the way that rich
Republicans have always wanted them to be starved. And of course Trump
scapegoats the most disadvantaged, the immigrants coming over our borders, with
his promise to build a border wall to rival the Israelis’ wall of shame keeping
out Palestinians (to Republican ‘minds’, there is always enough federal money
to finance walls, aircraft carriers, nuclear weapons, drones and every other
form of welfare-for-the-rich-and-powerful their devious brains can imagine).
All
of this might be just mildly annoying or even funny if it weren’t for the fact
that events seem to be playing into Trump’s (or fate’s) hands. The 2007-8
financial collapse drove the country into an economic downturn from which it has
still not fully recovered. Though the stock market has been cratering of late, it
rose to unprecedented heights to make billions for the very Wall Street scam
artists and banksters who brought the whole economy down in the first place. This
powerfully exacerbated the wealth gap between the richest and the poorest
Americans, a gap not seen since before the Great Depression. While salaries for
the poor and middle classes have remained stagnant since the Reagan years, the
income for those who do not work for their money but earn it through financial investments
has skyrocketed. A permanent underclass has emerged with even less hope than
most for carving out a decent life. And for the white male portion of the
population, easily persuaded that the benefits they should have are being given
to the ‘underserving’ poor and colored classes, the gravity of the labor
situation is compounded by resentments against their ‘vanishing rights.’ These
kinds of hopeless conditions and resentments are what prepared Germany to
accept the lunacies of Adolf Hitler and his gang in 1930s Germany. That is the
real danger here. When whole populations get desperate, they become ever more
susceptible to the ravings of demagogues.
One
other condition seems to me to be adding to the danger. Hillary Clinton, the once-inevitable
nominee for the Democratic Party, has been faltering badly. Her campaign seems
unable to put any distance between the candidate and the manufactured scandal
of her private email servers. Months have gone by and she is still peppered
with questions at every turn about whether she violated the law. This has meant
that the unlikely Bernie Sanders has been able to catch and surpass her in the
latest polls: he leads in both Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two primary
states. Now Bernie Sanders is the candidate I prefer. But he has made no secret
of his attraction to socialist principles. He believes in big government, he
believes in New Deal type policies to re-distribute income to benefit those who
need economic help, he believes in social programs to help the poor and
disadvantaged, he believes in taxing the rich so that they pay what he believes
is their fair share to support the government programs he believes in. And his
message seems to be resonating, at least with primary voters and a sizable
portion of Democrats polled so far.
If
Sanders were to become the nominee of the Democratic Party, and Trump were to
grab the Republican nomination—as he now seems likely to do—we would then have
a Trump v. Sanders presidential race. Two outsiders (more or less; though
Sanders has been a politician his whole adult life, he has always been an
Independent). And two men who tend to say, largely unedited, what they think.
But I fear that the campaign would be a disaster for the truth-teller, for the
rational man, for the man who believes that everyone deserves a fair chance to
thrive. Because history shows us that in the conditions that pertain in the
world today, and will pertain even more in the future, the demagogue usually
triumphs. The big liar triumphs. The man who pretends to know the answers—simple
answers that everyone can understand—wins. Most people, especially in a crisis,
want someone to tell them what to do. People want someone to tell them that
their country is, and has always been, the best the world has ever known. That
their country is prompted by good and noble aims. That their country always
works for the good guys for the good solution on the side of the angels. And
that it is only the outsiders, the marginalized Others, who are causing
trouble. Hitler played this song in the 1930s in Germany and succeeded beyond
what anyone might have imagined. Mussolini did the same in Italy. We are great.
We come from noble Roman stock. Our nation must take its destined place at the
head of Europe. We deserve our own empire. And all those who say otherwise are
defeatists, losers, cowards, and pathetic intellectuals who never do anything. If not communists or
terrorists.
This
is how the campaign—if it does turn out to be Sanders v. Trump—could well go.
The authoritarian, the man who brags about his wealth and dismisses everyone
else as stupid and incompetent because they haven’t made the money he has, will
garner the headlines, will continue to fascinate the media with his sound-bite
style, and make mincemeat of the more sober, rational, serious man of the
people. And what I fear more is that this will be only the beginning. As Naomi
Oreskes imagines it in her recent novel, The
Collapse of Western Civilization: A View from the Future, the fate of
nations under global warming conditions will favor the authoritarian
governments most able to handle the crises that will result. Migrants, millions
of them, will be on the move due to the ravages of floods and storms and drought
and sea-level rise displacing whole populations. They will be swamping borders
wherever they can, just as migrants from Syria and Afghanistan and Africa are
now over-running the borders of Greece and Italy and Hungary and everywhere else
in Europe. In such a situation, suggests Oreskes, democracies will be more or
less paralyzed. They will need to fashion consensus, pass laws, take precious
time to determine whom to accept and whom not to accept, and where to put them,
and how to enforce what they decide. A nation with an authoritarian government,
by contrast, will be able to act much more swiftly and decisively. A dictator
will simply be able to say: ‘no more; build the fence, build the wall; allow no
one to enter except the few we can use.’ And will have no qualms about using
force to maintain those closed, inviolate borders.
Hateful
as it is to think it, in such a situation, it is the Donald Trumps of the
world, the bloviating, narcissistic, ruthless assholes who can lie without
blinking an eye and condemn whole populations as worthless, who will manage to
captivate the loyalty and approval of the masses. The masses will want
protection. They will want simple solutions. They will choose security over
liberty every day of the week.
That
is what I fear. And that is what we should all be worried about, as Heather
Richardson writes, right now. Before it is too late. The time is very very
short, but there is still time. There is time to agitate, and demonstrate, and
educate, and work for candidates who are driven by more than ego and money and
power and the ignorance of contempt.
Within
a very few years, there may not be.
Lawrence DiStasi